
Polyethylene market trends in March 2025
The demand for polyethylene decreased in March. Converters, observing the decline in crude oil prices, expect polymer prices to drop in April and are taking a wait-and-see approach.
The demand for polyethylene decreased in March. Converters, observing the decline in crude oil prices, expect polymer prices to drop in April and are taking a wait-and-see approach.
Low demand for polypropylene hindered price large increases despite producers’ efforts to improve margins. Throughout February, traders hoped for a market revival at the beginning of March, when the construction and agricultural sectors are traditionally more active.
Market participants assessed that the polyethylene demand will slow down by the end of the month. The announced order stoppages for this material as well as production overhauls further limited the number of transactions.
Prices in the polyolefin market in Poland in 2024 changed due to various factors, such as: the level of demand from converters, the availability and quantity of imported material, the price of oil, the impact of the overall European economy, as well as the geopolitical situation worldwide.
After increased activity in mid-January, the PP market calmed down and by the end of the month prices remained stable. In H2 January, converters started to inquire materials for February delivery.
During the first working week of the new year, following a long holiday break, the market remained relatively slow. By midweek, there was still a lack of clarity regarding pricing policies from producers.
Most players expect the market to recover only in mid-January or early February, following the holiday season and the associated downtime.
Given market players' expectations of a rise in material costs in September and the end of production downtime for most converters, demand is likely to increase next week.
Market players expect an increase in demand after the long weekend in Poland. Many producers will return from the summer shutdown next week. Processors will want to replenish their stocks of raw material ahead of a projected price increase in September.
The tense political situation in various parts of the world may affect the plastics market in Poland. A Hungarian PE producer, for example, will face the issue of oil supply diversion.
Judging by the first market offers, the price in August will increase by €30-60/t; however, whether the market will accept the increase will be known by the end of next week.
European PE producers plan to increase prices next month in line with rising ethylene rates. According to Chem-Courier forecasts, the value of ethylene is expected to advance by €20-25/t in August.